The KATOH projection system uses a minor leaguer’s performance to estimate the likelihood that he’ll achieve certain major league outcomes.
***Chris’ most recent KATOH releases and analyses can be found in his Fangraphs’ author archive.***
Initial KATOH release: Probability of hitters making the Majors
- The Yankees’ biggest prospect flops, featuring Nick Johnson
- The Yankees’ biggest prospect flops, featuring Ricky Ledee
- Applying KATOH to Historical Prospects
- How telling are teenager’s A-ball stats?